The 90-day US–China trade truce signed in Geneva on May 12, 2026, reduces mutual tariffs sharply — but leaves the deeper structural conflict over technology, manufacturing, and dollar hegemony entirely unresolved. From Tariff War to Managed Rivalry: The Architecture of the Conflict For three years before the Geneva talks, Washington and Beijing operated on parallel … Read more
Iran’s Strait of Hormuz closure triggers largest oil supply shock in history, disrupting 27% of global trade and sending Brent crude past $100/bbl. Discover the geopolitical implications.
The 2026 US–China–EU trade war is shattering global trade rules. Poland faces 0.9pp GDP hit. WTO just failed. Full analysis on AirPres.
The Strait of Hormuz is sealed. Explore how the Persian Gulf crisis 2026 traps 3,200 ships, threatens global recession, and pushes Iran toward a 6-month war.
ECB rate cut April 2026 lowers deposit facility to 2.0% as inflation falls to 1.8%. Market impact, oil shock risks, and transatlantic divergence. Full analysis.
Over 40 countries meet to reopen the Strait of Hormuz blockade as crude hits $111. The biggest energy crisis in history — and the US isn’t invited.
SpaceX files for a record $1.75 trillion IPO, shaking global markets. Starlink and AI convergence fuel the most anticipated debut in history.
Trump’s vow to hit Iran sent oil above $109 and markets tumbling. The Iran oil shock is back – here’s what comes next
Discover how 2026 AI breakthroughs, including GPT-5.4’s human-level benchmark scores and Google’s memory compression, are reshaping the global economy.
Operation Epic Fury enters Day 33: Trump claims Iran ceasefire, Tehran denies. Oil above $110, Strait of Hormuz closed. Full geopolitical analysis.
One year after Trump’s Liberation Day tariffs, global GDP lost $2 trillion, the Supreme Court struck them down. Here’s what really changed in 2026.
LEAD: On April 2, 2026, President Donald Trump signed a sweeping executive order imposing reciprocal tariffs on imports from over 180 countries — including a baseline 20% levy on all European Union goods — launching what economists at the IMF are already calling the most disruptive trade shock to the global economy since the Great Depression. … Read more
